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Prince Fielder (left) and the Brewers haven't had much to celebrate lately, but it's still early. |
| By Dave Begel Special to OnMilwaukee.com Photography by Allen Fredrickson E-mail author | Author bio More articles by Dave Begel |
| Published Aug. 11, 2009 at 11:19 a.m. |
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I was sitting in the cafeteria of a large Downtown company this week. There were seven or eight guys at the next table, all obviously working men in jeans, work shirts and boots.
They were all in their late 30s or 40s and the conversation, or at least the part that I heard, went something like this:
No. 1 -- "I'm telling you, it's over. The season's over."
No. 2 -- "You're crazy. August has just started and they're not out of it."
No. 3 -- "Out of it? (To No. 2) Are you nuts? I'm unloading my tickets."
No. 2 -- "I'll take 'em. It's gonna be an exciting end of the year."
The discussion, of course, was about the Brewers. The talk went on for about 20 minutes and then I had to leave. I'm sure the conversation continued after I left.
What amazed me was that most of the guys at the table, maybe a little more than half, seemed to be on the side of the fence that thought the season was over for the Brewers.
Allow me to disagree. Firmly.
I have long believed that the single greatest factor in whether a team wins or loses a game is the opponent. If the Packers play the Steelers, the odds are that they will lose. If they play the Lions, the odds are they win. Not every time, for certain, but I think it's a rule that clearly prevails in the long run.
Given that, it's important to note that during the remainder of August the Brewers don't play a single team that has a winning record. What that means, of course, is that the Brewers have a better than even chance of entering the final month of the season still in the playoff race. What you want is to get to September with a legitimate chance.
St. Louis has an August schedule that looks like the Brewers.' But the Cubs play a four-game series at Los Angeles and have a three-game series against Philadelphia. The Cubs also have a stretch of 17 games in 17 days. They only have one day off the rest of the month, as they have 24 games left this month.
Sure, the Brewers have weaknesses that have to be handled. The bottom of the batting order is awful. The starting pitching is schizophrenic and you seemingly can't depend on anyone, including Yovani Gallardo. Perhaps the returns of Dave Bush and Jeff Suppan will be positive events.
And there are strengths. Prince Fielder and Ryan Braun are forces to be reckoned with, Felipe Lopez is a legitimate leadoff hitter and Craig Counsell, of all people, continues to get on base and provides almost nightly clinics about how to play defense. There are others who contribute night in and night out.
Plus, you could make the argument that the Brewers have been through their inevitable slump. Every team has streaks, both good and bad, and it may be that the Brewers have been through the worst of their streaks.
I would never pretend to be an expert about the ups and downs of baseball. I don't know nearly as much about it as I do other sports. But, I do know about hope in the world of sports. And I understand the importance of your opposition.
When you look at the Brewers opponents I think there is reason for at least a little optimism and a refusal to throw in the towel just yet.
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15 comments about this article. Post a comment / write a review. |
Posted by jk1522 on Aug. 13, 2009 at 12:33 p.m. (report)
Regardless of the amount of teams he has played for, the guy is batting .300 and has speed...in the major leagues WestSideWillie that makes you a good lead off hitter! It figures you would not like the moves of Hall and Hardy! One barely bats .200 and the other has hovered around .220 the entire season...sounds like your type of ball players! Those were moves to shake up the team and make these guys know that they mean business...if you arent producing...they will get someone in there that will...what is so obvious to some i guess is isnt for others!! Get a clue please
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Posted by WestSideWillie on Aug. 13, 2009 at 10:33 a.m. (report)
Lopez a lead off hitter? There is a reason he is with the 5th team in 5 years excluding the Reds for three years. Still cannot believe we have given up Bill "Pink Bat" Hall and All Star JJ to the minors. Don't worry we have Jason Bourgios to carry us to the pennant.
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Posted by jk1522 on Aug. 12, 2009 at 3:47 p.m. (report)
Guys, can we PLEASE stop blaming the dissapointing season on the loss of Weeks!? Yes, he was off to a great start, but who is to say that was going to continue? Definitely not her first four years in the league! With this being said, I am a Weeks fan, but am realistic enough to know that his performance probably was going to come to an end if he didnt get hurt first. You guys are probably the same nes that wanted him traded last year too! Lets remember, Hall was red hot in April and May too! Except for his "potential" power, we have lost nothing with the likes of Lopez and Counsell filling in for him. In fact their on base percentage off sets the power and then some, so lets stop this. The brewers have scored the fourth most runs in the NL...its the pitching...i thought that was obvious to all fans!!!
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Posted by ndf2 on Aug. 12, 2009 at 2:04 p.m. (report)
Amen, brother! I agree 100% except for Lopez as a leadoff hitter. Close, but not quite.....although he'll be a great #2 hitter now that Escobar will likely take the leadoff spot....Fifty games left. Buckle up, this is going to be a crazy ride.
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Posted by Skeffert on Aug. 12, 2009 at 11:48 a.m. (report)
I chalk it all up to the loss of Ricky Weeks. Seriously. But really, as poorly as the rest of the division has been playing, there's still a shot.
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